It's like lotto: you've got to be in it to win!

 North Korea is rumored to be preparing for  a third nuclear test. Think you can guess what the explosive yield will be? You’ve come to the right place. Welcome to the Great North Korean Nuke Pool of 2012.

Rules

1. Anyone may enter.

2. One entry/yield per person.

3. Two persons per yield.

4. Persons may “write-in” a yield not listed here and it will be added below. If you think the North Koreans will pull a Tsar Bomba, go for it. Nobody is stopping you.

5. Pool will be open up until the North Korean nuclear test. If it really does happen.

6. I, Kyle Mizokami, will act as pool referee. For this reason I will sit the pool out. I will pick what I will consider to be the best, most credible estimate available 72 hours after the test is executed. In choosing this estimate I will accept suggestions and assistance. Winner(s) will be announced shortly thereafter.

Rules subject to change to increase clarity. Rule intent however is pretty clear and will not change.

To Enter

Leave your entry in comments below, or message me on Twitter. This post will be updated once a day with new entries until the test is conducted.

Prizes

None, except for bragging rights. Those are, however, quite extensive.

 The Great North Korean Nuke Pool of 2012
 Yield (in kilotons)  Feels Like  Name/Screen Name   Name/Screen Name 
 .1 kilotons (100 tons TNT)
 .2 kilotons
 .3 kilotons
 .4 kilotons
 .5 kilotons  Kurt Achin
 .6 kilotons
 .7 kilotons
 .8 kilotons
 .9 kilotons  NK 2006 test
 1 kiloton (1,000 tons TNT)
 1.5 kilotons  W-82 155 artillery shell  Robert E. Kelly  Kevin Knodell
 2 kilotons  John Taylor
 3 kilotons
 4 kilotons  NK 2009 Test
 5 kilotons  NK 2009 Test  Craig Scanlan  James Simpson
 6 kilotons  NK 2009 Test
 7 kilotons  Corey Wallace
 8 kilotons  Mike Yeo
 9 kilotons  Stephen  Louisa Lim
 10 kilotons  H. Lucien Gauthier
 11 kilotons  Graham Jenkins
 12 kilotons  Robert Farley
 13 kilotons  “Fat Man”, Hiroshima 1945  Ray Kwong
 14 kilotons  “Fat Man”, Hiroshima 1945  Zach Rosenberg
 15 kilotons  “Fat Man”, Hiroshima 1945  Bryan William Jones
 16 kilotons  Andrew Galbraith
 17 kilotons
 18 kilotons  Asuka Scanlan
 19 kilotons
 20 kilotons  Arkhangelsk
 21 kilotons  “Little Boy”, Nagasaki 1945
 22 kilotons
 23 kilotons
 24 kilotons
 25 kilotons
 26 kilotons
 27 kilotons
 28 kilotons
 29 kilotons
 30 kilotons
 31 kilotons
 32 kilotons
 33 kilotons
 34 kilotons
 35 kilotons
Write-Ins:
 200 kilotons  Grey Havoc
 500 kilotons  Approx. 1% Tsar Bomba  Marco Amersfoort

"You assured me the four kiloton spot was mine. What do you mean it's already taken?!"

 

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A contributor and editor at the blog War Is Boring, Kyle Mizokami started Japan Security Watch in 2010 to further understand Japan's defenses and security policy.
Kyle Mizokami has 29 post(s) on Asia Security Watch